← Gaming DNA - Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Water AlliesTier 1
at Gaming DNA - Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.3%
avg ELO +3.4 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1180
· median 1180
· range 1180–1180
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1043
Q1 1184
Q3 1381
1474
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 30.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.1% | +5.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
